The Easiest Way to Earn a Near 7% Return in a Bear Market | The Motley Fool (2024)

The U.S. Treasury's inflation-protected I Bond is a no-brainer alternative to holding long-term savings in the bank.

Did you know there's a relatively low-risk investment that can earn you a near 7% annualized return right now?

With inflation recently at a 40-year high, there's a Treasury bond that pays an inflation-adjusted rate of nearly 7% -- the Series I Savings Bond.

While it may not be the right choice for every investor, if you're setting aside cash in a savings account on a regular basis, you might consider putting that money into I Bonds instead.

I Bonds are like inflation insurance

If you're planning to hold cash for the foreseeable future, I Bonds are likely a great place to park it. Series I Treasury bonds pay interest that is based on the combination of a fixed interest rate and an inflation-adjusted rate. Every six months, the variable rate adjusts to reflect the Consumer Price Index level.

Today, the fixed-rate component for I Bonds is 0.4% while the inflation-adjusted component will be 6.89% through April 30.

This means if you buy an I Bond today, you'll be guaranteed a fixed 0.4% interest rate for the life of the bond (30 years), and an inflation-adjusted rate of nearly 7% until the end of April. It's certainly possible that the variable rate could decline beginning in May if the inflation rate heads downward, but even the fixed rate alone is higher than you'd receive from a traditional savings account.

In fact, the average interest rate for savings accounts today in the U.S. is only 0.21%, according to the FDIC.

So, if you buy an I Bond right now, you're guaranteed a better rate of return than you'd receive if you left that money in your savings account. Plus there's the added benefit of inflation insulation.

The catch with I Bonds

The biggest drawback to I Bonds is you only receive the interest payments when you cash out your bonds -- and the soonest you can do that is 12 months after you initially purchase them. Also, if you cash out before five years, you'll incur a penalty equivalent to the last three months of interest payments.

So, if you might need that money in the near future, you probably shouldn't buy I Bonds. But if you're comfortable locking up those funds for more than 12 months, there's little downside to investing in them.

Are I Bonds right for you?

The main advantage of I Bonds lies in their capacity to hold cash for long periods of time without risking a loss of purchasing power. For example, they might be an excellent savings vehicle if you're saving up to buy a home or make some other large purchase in the next several years.

The upside is your money is sheltered from inflation. The downside is your money is locked up for at least 12 months. However, if you invested those funds in the stock market, you could potentially earn a much higher rate of return.

I Bonds aren't a short-term hack

I Bonds have become increasingly popular in this period of high inflation, but it's important to understand they aren't a short-term inflation insulator.

You're obligated to hold them for at least 12 months, and even then, you'd likely be better off investing in the stock market, which has historically risen by an average of around 10% per year.

But if you're saving up for a large purchase, I Bonds do offer an attractive alternative to a traditional savings account.

The Easiest Way to Earn a Near 7% Return in a Bear Market | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Where to get 10 percent return on investment? ›

Summary of the best investments with 10% ROI
  • Private credit.
  • Individual stocks.
  • Real estate.
  • Fine art.
  • Debt.
  • A business.
  • Private startups.
  • Cryptocurrencies.
Jan 4, 2024

Is 7 percent a good return on investment? ›

Return on Stocks: On average, a ROI of 7% after inflation is often considered good, based on the historical returns of the market. Return on Bonds: For bonds, a good ROI is typically around 4-6%. Return on Gold: For gold investments, a ROI of more than 5% is seen as favorable.

How to turn 200k into a million? ›

Here are the five steps you can do:
  1. Evaluate Your Starting Point. Putting together $200,000 to invest is no small feat. ...
  2. Estimate Your Risk Tolerance. Your risk tolerance will determine what investments you're comfortable making. ...
  3. Calculate Necessary Returns. ...
  4. Allocate Investments Wisely. ...
  5. Minimize Taxes and Fees.
Mar 23, 2024

What stocks do best in the bear market? ›

Government bonds and defensive stocks historically perform better during a bear market.

Where can I invest to get 5% return? ›

Money market funds

Not to be confused with money market accounts, which are deposit accounts, a money market fund is an investment account that can also provide a relatively low-risk way to earn 5% or more.

How to get 12 percent return on investment? ›

How To Get 12% Returns On Investment
  1. Stock Market (Dividend Stocks) Dividend stocks are shares of companies that regularly pay a portion of their profits to shareholders. ...
  2. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) ...
  3. P2P Investing Platforms. ...
  4. High-Yield Bonds. ...
  5. Rental Property Investment. ...
  6. Way Forward.
Jul 20, 2023

What pays 7 percent interest? ›

As of May 2024, no banks are offering 7% interest rates on savings accounts. Two credit unions have high-interest checking accounts: Landmark Credit Union Premium Checking with 7.50% APY and OnPath Credit Union High Yield Checking with 7.00% APY.

Is a 7 return realistic? ›

Even the 10% estimate doesn't include inflation, which has averaged about 3% a year, further reducing the historical return closer to 7%. Tack on things like fees and taxes, and even 7% is probably a relatively high long-term return assumption for a portfolio, especially based on market forecasts today.

What is the 70% rule investing? ›

Basically, the rule says real estate investors should pay no more than 70% of a property's after-repair value (ARV) minus the cost of the repairs necessary to renovate the home. The ARV of a property is the amount a home could sell for after flippers renovate it.

How to flip 100K into 1 million? ›

There are two approaches you could take. The first is increasing the amount you invest monthly. Bumping up your monthly contributions to $200 would put you over the $1 million mark. The other option would be to try to exceed a 7% annual return with your investments.

How long will it take to turn 500k into 1 million? ›

If invested with an average annual return of 7%, it would take around 15 years to turn 500k into $1 million.

Can you live off 2 million dollars for the rest of your life? ›

$2 million is far above the average retirement savings in the US. $2 million should afford you to enjoy a comfortable and happy retirement. If you choose to retire at 50, a retirement savings fund of $2 million would provide you with $50,000 annually.

How to profit in a bear market? ›

9 strategies traders use when prices are falling
  1. Take a short-selling position.
  2. Find a good entry position.
  3. Trade the VIX.
  4. Trade indices and ETFs.
  5. Diversify your holdings.
  6. Focus on the long-term.
  7. Trade self-haven assets.
  8. Trade currencies.

Should I sell my stocks in a bear market? ›

Invest in stocks that you want to own for the long run, and don't sell them simply because their prices went down in a bear market. Focus on quality: When bear markets hit, it's true that companies often go out of business.

How long will the bear market last? ›

The duration of bear markets can vary, but on average, they last approximately 289 days, equivalent to around nine and a half months. It's important to note that there's no way to predict the timing of a bear market with complete certainty, and history shows that the average bear market length can vary significantly.

Is 10% return on investment possible? ›

If one type of investment drops your entire portfolio won't take a hit and you'll be able to take advantage of potential strong returns with other assets. This way if one asset is returning 15% but another drops to only a 2% return, it's still possible for your entire portfolio to reach a steady 10%+ return.

Where to put $10,000 for best interest? ›

The best way to invest 10K in individual stocks, ETFs, mutual and index funds, and stocks and shares ISAs. You can also use a robo-advisor to invest in stocks. How to invest 10k for the short term? You can invest the 100k in a high-interest savings account or a cash ISA for short-term goals.

Can I get 15 percent return on investment? ›

Stock exchange markets are considered inherently unstable and unpredictable, however, in the long run, they eventually tend to rise, and though a return as good as 15% each year might not always be achievable in the stock market, an annual return of around 15% may be possible over the foreseeable future, but remember, ...

How can I invest $10,000 for quick return? ›

  1. Pay off high-interest debt. Before you do anything, work to eliminate high-interest debt, such as credit card balances. ...
  2. Build an emergency fund. ...
  3. Open a high-yield savings account. ...
  4. Build a CD ladder. ...
  5. Get your 401(k) match. ...
  6. Max out your IRA. ...
  7. Invest through a self-directed brokerage account. ...
  8. Invest in a REIT.
May 17, 2024

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