Michael Burry, of ‘Big Short’ fame, just bet $1.6 billion on a stock market crash | CNN Business (2024)

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Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who became famous for correctly predicting the epic collapse of the housing market in 2008, has bet more than $1.6 billion on a Wall Street crash.

Burry is making his bearish bets against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, according to Security Exchange Commission filings released Monday. Burry’s fund, Scion Asset Management, bought $866 million in put options (that’s the right to sell an asset at a particular price) against a fund that tracks the S&P 500 and $739 million in put options against a fund that tracks the Nasdaq 100.

Burry is using more than 90% of his portfolio to bet on a market downturn, according to the filings.

But Burry appears to have been wavering between bullish and bearish on his stock picks this year. In January, he tweeted a cryptic message to his 1.4 million followers. “Sell,” he wrote. But by the end of March, he backtracked. “I was wrong to say sell.” he wrote.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have both notched big gains so far this year. They’re up nearly 16% and 38%, respectively.

In the mid-2000s, Burry was famous for placing a wager against the housing market and profited handsomely from the subprime lending crisis and the collapse of numerous major financial entities in 2008. The event was chronicled by Michael Lewis in his bestseller “The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine” and later adapted into a film where Burry was played by Christian Bale.

Getting out of regional banks and China

Burry’s fund is also getting out of its shares in a number of regional banks – it sold its 150,000 shares of First Republic Bank (FRC) as well as holdings in Huntington Bank PacWest (PACW) and Western Alliance (WAL). It’s unclear whether these sales took place before or after JPMorgan Chase took over First Republic Bank (FRC) in May.

Burry also reversed course on Chinese stocks – selling his shares of JD.com (JD) and Alibaba (BABA) in the second quarter of the year.

A little long

There are some names that Burry and his team at Scion are betting on.

About 6% of the company’s stock portfolio is long and in the second quarter of the year he increased his exposure to the travel and healthcare industry – purchasing shares of Expedia Group (EXPE), MGM Resorts (MGM), CVS (CVS) and Cigna (CI).

Burry also purchased $4.7 million shares worth of CNN parent company Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) and $3.3 million in online second hand retailer, The RealReal (TRR).

But in financial circles, Michael Burry’s bearish predictions often garner more attention than his optimistic bets.

While one big payoff doesn’t guarantee future returns, Burry does have a strong investment record. Traders following the investments disclosed by Scion’s over the last 3 years (between May of 2020 and May 2023) would have made annualized returns of 56% according to an analysis by Sure Dividend. Over the same period, the S&P 500 had annualized returns of about 12%.

Michael Burry, of ‘Big Short’ fame, just bet $1.6 billion on a stock market crash | CNN Business (2024)

FAQs

What happened to Michael Burry in The Big Short? ›

Despite the millions Burry made for himself and his investors, he faced substantial criticism, leading him to shut down his original hedge fund, Scion Capital, in 2008. Partly driven by public reaction to his strategy and a desire to explore other investment ventures, he made this decision.

What stock did Michael Burry short in 2008? ›

Michael Burry, who famously shorted subprime mortgages during the 2008 financial crisis, closed his bets against the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 in the third quarter. But he also found another industry to short: semiconductors.

Which trader predicted 2008 financial crisis bets $1.6 BN on the stock market crash by end of 2023? ›

During the second quarter of 2021, he reportedly held put options valued at almost $31 million on the ARKK ETF innovation index managed by Ark Invest. In August 2023, it was widely reported that Burry's hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, had made a $1.6 billion bet on a US stock market crash.

How much did Michael Burry make from the crash? ›

Key Takeaways. Michael Burry is an investor who profited from the subprime mortgage crisis by shorting the 2007 mortgage bond market, making $100 million for himself and $700 million for his investors. Burry shut down his hedge fund, Scion Capital, in 2008.

How did Michael Burry bet against the housing market? ›

Investor Michael Burry rose to fame after he predicted the 2008 housing market collapse and actor Christian Bale portrayed him in 2015's "The Big Short." The film, which won acclaim as one of the best movies about Wall Street, highlighted Burry's call to "short" the U.S. housing market, betting against the industry by ...

Is Michael Burry shorting the S&P 500? ›

Is Burry short $1.6 billion on the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ)? The short answer is "NO." Burry released his Q2 13-F filing with the list of holdings most notable was his bearish option trade.

Is Michael Burry a successful investor? ›

In perhaps the most successful and notorious move of his investing career, Burry essentially shorted the overvalued and under-regulated mortgage-backed securities industry as it was ballooning in the mid to late 2000s, a saga that was immortalized in the 2015 film The Big Short.

Who predicted the 2008 crash in The Big Short? ›

Michael Burry, of 'Big Short' fame, just bet $1.6 billion on a stock market crash. Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who became famous for correctly predicting the epic collapse of the housing market in 2008, has bet more than $1.6 billion on a Wall Street crash.

Why did Michael Burry sell everything? ›

In a nutshell, that's the Burry bear thesis – or, at the least, our interpretation of it based on a piecing together of his always-cryptic tweets. Basically, Michael Burry doesn't believe inflation will recede. And as a result, he thinks stocks are doomed. So… he sold everything.

Why is Michael Burry investing in water? ›

He prefers water-rich farmland away from large governmental and infrastructural limitations. Burry has said in interview: “What became clear to me is that food is the way to invest in water. That is, grow food in water-rich areas and transport it for sale in water-poor areas.

What happened in The Big Short? ›

Summary. The Big Short describes several of the main players in the creation of the credit default swap market who sought to bet against the collateralized debt obligation (CDO) bubble and thus ended up profiting from the financial crisis of 2007–08.

Who is to blame for the stock market crash of 2008? ›

The Bottom Line

Though the 2008 crisis impacted the entire global financial system, it was caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States. As a result, many of its major players were U.S. government officials and corporate leaders of U.S. financial institutions.

How much did the stock market lose in 2008 crash? ›

In the United States, the stock market plummeted, wiping out nearly $8 trillion in value between late 2007 and 2009. Unemployment climbed, peaking at 10 percent in October 2009. Americans lost $9.8 trillion in wealth as their home values plummeted and their retirement accounts vaporized.

Did anyone predict the 2008 market crash? ›

Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sach's Chief Economist, has won awards for predicting the Great Financial Crisis of '08. As new fears of a recession creep up on the US economy, Hatzius says this is the likelihood of one in 2024.

What disease did Michael Burry have? ›

Michael lost his left eye to cancer when he was a child, and was diagnosed with Asperger's Syndrome as an adult—which might partly explain why he has always been able to see things from a different vantage point in the world of Wall Street.

What happened to Mark Baum's brother? ›

In the film, hedge fund manager Mark Baum is devastated by a family tragedy in the middle of the impending financial crisis, which turns out to be the death of his brother by suicide. The real-life Steve Eisman did face a similar tragedy. However, it involved the death of his infant son, Max.

Did Mark Baum make money? ›

Michael Burry made $100 million by predicting the housing market crash in The Big Short. Mark Baum, based on Steve Eisman, earned $1 billion from the market crash depicted in the film. Jared Vennett, based on Greg Lippmann, made $47 million from swap sales as shown in the movie.

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