Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (2024)

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    Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (3)

    Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (4)

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    Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (5)

    Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (6)

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Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets

Investing for GrowthInvesting for RetirementClient Conversations

Consider adopting a portfolio rebalancing strategy, even during down markets.

A bear market can sometimes throw your finely tuned asset-allocation mix out of whack. As stocks lag, your bond portfolio may start to outperform. Next thing you know, your “ideal” 70%/30% asset mix might be drifting toward a 60%/40% or evena 50%/50% split, and your actual mix no longer matches your risk profile.

You should consider adopting a portfolio rebalancing strategy—even during down markets when it’s tempting to let your “winners” keep growing while your “losers” are taking their lumps. That’s because rebalancing helps you buy low and sell high—an investing adage that’s easy to say and hard to do.

The chart below illustrates hypothetical outcomes for buying and holding vs. having two alternative rebalancing strategies.

Bottom line: Rebalancing can be a helpful investment discipline, whether you do it annually or use a rules-based system to rebalance only when stocks decline by a certain amount.

Doing the Math: Buy and Hold vs. Having a Deliberate Rebalancing Strategy

Buy and Hold (No Rebalancing)Rebalance AnnuallyPortfolio Rebalanced to 70%/30%
Only After 20% Drop*
DateStocks
%
Bonds
%
Investment
Value
Stocks
%
Bonds
%
Investment
Value
Stocks
%
Bonds
%
Investment
Value
1/1/19997030$100,0007030$100,0007030$100,000
12/31/19997426$114,4837426$114,4837426$114,483
12/29/20007030$110,2286634$111,1807030$110,228
12/31/20016535$103,8786535$104,7456832$103,647
12/31/20025743$92,5746238$91,7636832$90,717
12/31/20036238$109,36774
26$111,3197327$109,632
12/31/20046436$118,5647129$121,2477426$119,593
12/30/20056436$123,3177129$126,3007426$124,687
12/29/20066733$137,7307228$141,9057624$140,694
12/31/20076634$145,9767030$150,3287624$148,918
12/31/20085446$112,7955842$113,7596238$110,015
12/31/20095842$131,9907426$136,8577723$136,185
12/31/20106040$147,1877228$153,9737822$154,038
12/30/20115941$153,6516931$159,8727723$159,197
12/31/20126139$170,7967228$179,8037921$180,445
12/31/20136832$203,4637624$219,4768416$226,023
12/31/20147030$226,3347129$244,4338515$254,133
12/31/20157030$228,8967030$247,2048515$257,326
12/30/20167228$249,8747228$269,8648614$284,468
12/29/20177525$291,5257327$313,9728812$339,245
12/31/20187426$281,9546931$304,3478713$326,195
12/31/20197822$354,1017426$379,3858911$419,456
12/31/20207921$410,6037228$436,7917723$465,113
12/31/20218317$502,6497525$522,5388218$566,895
12/30/20228218$415,9026931$435,8988119$469,494
12/29/20238515$510,0557426$523,3398317$574,261

*This hypothetical investor rebalanced the portfolio after 20% equity drops on 3/12/01, 7/10/02, 7/9/08, 2/27/09, 3/12/20, and 6/13/22.

Talk to your financial professional about the benefits of a portfolio rebalancing strategy.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. • Fixed income security risks include credit, liquidity, call, duration, and interest-rate risk. As interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall. The chart above is for illustrative purposes only. Market performance data is based on daily changes in the S&P 500 Index and the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index. The S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted price index composed of 500 widely held common stocks. Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index is composed of securities that cover the US investment grade fixed rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. Source: Bloomberg Index Services Limited.

CCWP084 3421830

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Does Portfolio Rebalancing Work? Yes, Even in Bear Markets (2024)

FAQs

Should you rebalance your portfolio during a bear market? ›

These portfolio strategies are helpful during a bear market and for any economic environment. Rebalancing and working with a financial partner are always good strategies to keep your portfolio on track to meet your goals.

Does portfolio rebalancing actually improve returns? ›

Rebalancing is an important way to help minimize volatility in a portfolio and may improve long-term returns. Setting specific thresholds that trigger rebalancing can help eliminate emotion from the rebalancing process.

Should you rebalance your portfolio when the market is down? ›

You should consider adopting a portfolio rebalancing strategy—even during down markets when it's tempting to let your “winners” keep growing while your “losers” are taking their lumps. That's because rebalancing helps you buy low and sell high—an investing adage that's easy to say and hard to do.

What are the downsides of rebalancing? ›

Expensive. Active rebalancing can also be expensive, as it involves trading fees and potential taxes. Each time an asset is bought or sold, investors must pay a trading fee or transaction costs.

What is the 5/25 rule for rebalancing? ›

It states that rebalancing between assets should occur only if an asset or category has drifted from its original target by an absolute percentage of 5% or a relative of 25% whichever is less.

What is the 5% portfolio rule? ›

This is a rule that aims to aid diversification in an investment portfolio. It states that one should not hold more than 5% of the total value of the portfolio in a single security.

Does rebalancing really pay off? ›

Overall, annual rebalancing did the best job keeping risk in check, with an annualized standard deviation of 8.55% over the past 15 years. The annual rebalancing strategy also had the lowest downside capture ratio of 54.12%.

What is the best month of the year to rebalance your portfolio? ›

Many investors find January to be a good month to establish disciplined annual rebalancing since they will know their portfolio is allocated as intended at the start of every New Year.

At what percentage should I rebalance my portfolio? ›

How Often Should I Rebalance My Portfolio? Rebalancing too frequently can sacrifice returns. Rebalancing less often can bolster returns and increase portfolio volatility. Vanguard recommends checking your portfolio every six months, and rebalancing if the values drift 5% or more from target.

How do you rebalance a portfolio during a recession? ›

Buying investments low.

The silver lining of a recession is that many assets and investments fall in value. If you have the cash available, it's a great time to buy undervalued assets at a low price. Then, sell them for a higher price when the markets recover.

How do I avoid taxes when rebalancing my portfolio? ›

Here are six tactics for rebalancing a portfolio in a more tax-efficient way:
  1. Start with tax-advantaged accounts. ...
  2. Re-direct cash flows in taxable accounts. ...
  3. Consider cost basis. ...
  4. Explore charitable giving and annual gifting. ...
  5. Keep in mind the timing of fund distributions when rebalancing near year-end.
May 12, 2022

Is it better to rebalance quarterly or annually? ›

Research from Vanguard shows there is no optimal rebalancing strategy. Whether a portfolio is rebalanced monthly, quarterly, or annually, portfolio returns are not markedly different.

What is the smart rebalance strategy? ›

Smart Rebalance is a classic strategy that has been used for decades in the traditional industry. The core of the strategy is to increase the total amount of assets by selling high and buying low, at the same time maintaining the portfolio basically unchanged.

Does portfolio rebalancing increase returns? ›

All else being equal, this will lead to a portfolio that underperforms an un-rebalanced portfolio as long as the trend persists. In mean- reverting markets, however, rebalancing leads to both increased returns and increased risk control.

When a bear market hits, the best strategy to make money is? ›

But you can maximise your chances of a profit in a bear market by following bearish-friendly strategies. These include diversifying your holdings, focusing on the long-term, taking a short-selling position, trading in 'safe haven' assets and buying at the bottom.

What not to do in a bear market? ›

Avoid knee-jerk reactions.

By selling when the market has fallen steeply, you're at risk of locking in a permanent loss of capital. To optimize your potential over the long term, what's crucial is time in the market, not market timing.

How do I protect my portfolio in a bear market? ›

Here are seven things to do:
  1. Know that you have the resources to weather a crisis. ...
  2. Match your money to your goals. ...
  3. Remember: Downturns don't last. ...
  4. Keep your portfolio diversified. ...
  5. Don't miss out on market rebounds. ...
  6. Include cash in your kit. ...
  7. Find a financial professional you can count on.

How do you know when to rebalance your portfolio? ›

Factors determining when to rebalance your portfolio include market volatility, major life events, diversification concerns or simply the passage of time.

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