'Bubble may be far from bursting': Capital Economics says S&P 500 could hit 6,500 by end of next year (2024)

'Bubble may be far from bursting': Capital Economics says S&P 500 could hit 6,500 by end of next year (2024)

FAQs

Can the S&P 500 hit 6500? ›

Capital Economics chief market economist John Higgins predicts the S&P 500 can hit 6,500 by the end of 2025. This outlook is more dependent on the current AI-fueled bubble growing. For now, he maintains the bubble-like trade in the market can bring the benchmark average to 6,500 by the end of 2025.

How high will the S&P 500 go in 2024? ›

The estimates from strategists put the median target for the S&P 500 at 5,200 by the end of 2024, implying a decline of less than 1% from Friday's level, according to MarketWatch calculations. Heading into 2024, the median target was around 5,000 (see table below).

What is the S&P 500 prediction for 2025? ›

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says. The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.

Where will S and P be in 5 years? ›

They point to the fact that the US economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in the coming years and that interest rates are likely to rise. As a result, they expect the S&P 500 to grow by an average of 5-7% per year over the next five years.

What is the average S&P 500 return over 50 years? ›

Stock Market Average Yearly Return for the Last 50 Years

The average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 11.3% over the last 50 years, as of the end of February 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 50-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.18%.

What is the highest the S&P has ever gone? ›

Price index
CategoryAll-time highsAll-time lows
Closing5,254.35Tuesday, January 3, 1950
Intraday5,264.85Tuesday, January 3, 1950

How much will the S&P 500 be worth in 2030? ›

Stock market forecast for the next decade
YearPrice
20276200
20286725
20297300
20308900
5 more rows
4 days ago

Will 2024 be a good year for the stock market? ›

Positive returns -- but smaller than in 2023

I think that the overall stock market will deliver positive returns in 2024. However, I expect those returns to be somewhat smaller than they were last year.

Which stock will boom in 2024? ›

Performance List of Multibagger Penny Stocks for 2024
NameBook Value1 Year (%)
J Taparia Projects₹ 18.56345.61%
Rasi Electrodes₹ 9.4552.90%
3P Land Holdings₹ 37.7524.68%
SAL Steel₹ 4.87110.65%
6 more rows
6 days ago

What is the S&P 500 forecast for 2026? ›

Ed Yardeni, the renowned economist and market expert, has made a bold prediction for the future of the stock market. He believes that the S&P 500 could surge by a whopping 26% by 2026 to 6,500.

What is the target of the S&P 500 in 2026? ›

The bank said in a recent note that the gains in the S&P 500 should continue, suggesting that the index could rally another 34% by the end of 2026. "The SPX has rallied 46% from its October 2022 low," Stephen Suttmeier, a Bank of America technical strategist, said.

What is the expected return of the S&P 500 in the next 10 years? ›

Optimistic: 6%-7% per year.

If you assume margins and P/E multiples will remain at their current high level, and expect sales and buybacks to grow at their historical rates, then you can anticipate making about 6% in returns per year over the next decade.

What is the stock market expected to do in 2024? ›

Anthony Denier, CEO of the trading platform Webull, says he believes the stock market will ultimately post a positive return in 2024 as investors anticipate interest rate cuts by the Fed. However, he adds, we probably won't see as big of a rally as we did in 2023.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.

What is the S&P by the end of 2024? ›

S&P 500 should end 2024 at current levels around our price target of 5,100, says BMO's Brian Belski.

How much will my money grow in S&P 500? ›

The actual rate of return is largely dependent on the types of investments you select. The Standard & Poor's 500® (S&P 500®) for the 10 years ending December 31st 2023, had an annual compounded rate of return of 15.2%, including reinvestment of dividends.

How much does the S&P 500 grow on average? ›

Bottom Line. Since 1957, the S&P 500's average annual rate of return has been approximately 10.5% (through March 2023) and around 6.6% after adjusting for inflation.

What is the average growth of the S&P 500 over 30 years? ›

Average Market Return for the Last 30 Years

Looking at the S&P 500 for the years 1993 to mid-2023, the average stock market return for the last 30 years is 9.90% (7.22% when adjusted for inflation).

How much money would I have if I invested in the S&P 500 in 2000? ›

If you invested $100 in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2000, you would have about $488.05 at the end of 2023, assuming you reinvested all dividends. This is a return on investment of 388.05%, or 6.93% per year.

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